Oil at $100: What It Actually Costs Your Firm

25 July 2026

Brent crude rose more than 6% on Thursday to hit $100 a barrel for the first time since May, as the war in the Middle East continues to escalate. For UK trades and construction businesses, that's not a headline — it's a line item on your next invoice.

What it means for your margin

Fuel is the first place this shows up. Diesel pump prices track crude with a lag of days, not weeks. Plant hire firms and haulage suppliers move faster — many have surcharge clauses that trigger automatically when crude moves this much in a week.

Worked example: take a five-van trades business doing 15,000 miles a year per van at 35mpg. That's roughly 1,950 litres of diesel per van annually. A 6p per litre rise — a realistic pass-through from a move like this — adds about £117 per van per year, or £585 across the fleet. Add a plant hire fuel surcharge of 3–5% on a £20,000 annual hire spend and you're looking at another £600–£1,000. None of that was in the quote you gave a client three weeks ago.

The bigger risk is quotes and fixed-price contracts signed before the spike. If your terms don't include a fuel or materials escalation clause, you absorb the increase — and on a job with a 10% margin, a £1,500 swing in fuel and plant costs can wipe out most of the profit on a mid-sized contract.

What to do this month

None of this needs software or a consultant. It needs someone in the business to open the supplier contracts this week and check the numbers before the next invoice lands.

Prompted by: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2djnzrqk2o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss

Want this level of clarity on your own numbers?

Start with the free Margin vs Volume calculator — 30 seconds, no sign-up.

Run your numbers →